Ruto in power protects Gachagua’s political future Gachagua was impeached, which already limits his options. If Ruto loses in 2027, the new president would rule for up to ten years. That would lock Gachagua out of real power for a long time. Staying close to a re-elected Ruto keeps doors open for him and gives him time to reorganize for the 2032 elections after negotiating for his impeachment to be shelved.
He gains more by negotiating than by overthrowing Gachagua understands that removing Ruto would leave him with no leverage. But a weakened, re-elected Ruto would need support in Parliament and counties. That gives Gachagua space to negotiate deals, protection, and influence without taking full responsibility for government.
His real focus is controlling numbers, not State House Gachagua is investing in having MPs, governors, senators, and MCAs elected on DCP not a presidential machine. These numbers will be useful as a bargain chip to whoever wins the presidency.
Opposition politics would destroy his Mt Kenya base If Ruto loses, Mt Kenya voters would expect Gachagua to “deliver” immediately because their side would be in government. Without direct control of the state, he would fail to meet those expectations. That pressure would quickly weaken his authority. A Ruto win removes that burden.
His attacks are meant to mobilize, not remove Gachagua’s loud criticism of Ruto is designed to unite and energize Mt Kenya voters, not to topple the president. The anger helps him consolidate regional loyalty. Once elections end, that loyalty becomes bargaining power—not a tool for regime change.
He wants influence without blame As long as Ruto remains president, Gachagua can influence decisions from the outside while avoiding responsibility when things go wrong. Removing Ruto would force him to either govern directly or fade politically. Keeping Ruto in power is the safer and smarter option for him.
