Around 67 constituencies are solid GEMA strongholds. And with the rising influence of the Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP), many of these are likely to swing in Gachagua’s direction come the next elections. Add a few Rift Valley and Coast wildcards, and Gachagua might easily command control of nearly 100 constituencies in Parliament.
Matiang’i, let’s assume, manages to clinch the presidency — with Gachagua’s backing. His United Progressive Alliance (UPA) holds sway in about 15 constituencies, 13 of them in Nyamira and Kisii. On paper, it looks like a win. But in reality, it would be the start of a political hostage crisis.
If Matiang’i dares to go against Gachagua’s wishes — say, he resists implementing Gachagua’s tribal “shareholding” ideology — he will be the next visitor to the impeachment slaughterhouse. The man from Wamunyoro does not give power without strings. And when those strings are pulled, expect the puppet to dance.
Yet some Kenyans still say: “Yes, Gachagua is toxic, tribal, and autocratic — but let’s tolerate him for now, he’s helping us weaken Ruto.” They console themselves with the hope that Gachagua will never be president, so his radicalism doesn’t matter.
That’s naïve.
Gachagua has no intention of fading quietly. His style is domination, not delegation. He will bully, blackmail, and bulldoze his way through State House corridors. And if you think the president will be in charge, just wait — he’ll be treated, in Gachagua’s own words, “kama baiskeli ya wizi.”
This isn’t about liking Matiang’i. We know him. But electing a president backed by Gachagua is like handing a loaded gun to a known gangster and hoping he’ll become a priest.
Don’t say we didn’t warn you.
