The court’s decision upholding the impeachment weakens Rigathi Gachagua politically and legally, making him less formidable in the race for the opposition ticket. At the same time, Kalonzo can still publicly defend Gachagua’s political rights without elevating him to frontrunner status.
After several unsuccessful presidential bids, Kalonzo Musyoka sees 2027 as perhaps his best and final opportunity to lead a united opposition. Supporting Gachagua for president would require Kalonzo to step aside from an ambition he has pursued for years.
Even if Gachagua argues he can contest, questions surrounding the implications of impeachment could persist until the electoral process is underway. Many opposition leaders may be reluctant to rally behind a candidate whose eligibility could face further legal scrutiny.
The opposition includes several influential figures with presidential ambitions. Backing Gachagua too early could alienate other partners and create divisions within the coalition. Kalonzo is therefore more likely to support an open selection process than endorse Gachagua outright.
Kalonzo’s argument is primarily legal and constitutional: that Gachagua should not be barred from seeking office without due process. However, defending someone’s right to run does not automatically mean supporting that person to become the coalition’s presidential candidate. Kalonzo can uphold that principle while still campaigning to be the opposition’s flagbearer himself.
